Poll: Who's the surest bet in this year's Best Actor race?

Who do you think earns a nomination for sure?

Jeremy Renner has been on everyone's radar for a while now, though he may be too much of an unknown for a nod. Many contenders have debuted well at festivals this week. George Clooney, Matt Damon, and Viggo Mortensen have all earned positive reviews for their respective films. Colin Firth took home Best Actor from Venice and his film A Single Man was just picked up by The Weinstein Company, so expect a strong campaign for him. And Robert Duvall's turn as a Tennessee hermit ignited Toronto. We've yet to see Day-Lewis and Freeman, but both the roles seem baity enough.

Who gets in? Any names you're rooting for that aren't on the list? Let me hear it.